Just The Tip
📅Fixture
📊Stats
Degen Crew
ℹ️Info
📊Stats
📅Fixture
Degen
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📅 Fixture
Click a game to focus · weather auto-loads for outdoor venues
😬 Bogey
Players who have never hit their L3-season average vs this week's opponent — minimum 3 games
🐰 Bunnies
Players who average more vs their current opponent than any other team — minimum 3 games
💀 Death Riders
Under disposals candidates — tough matchup, negative signals, below-line avg
🏉 Snags
Top 10 players · Top 5 teams allowing
⚡ Elite Matchups
Top 10 players + Top 5 teams per stat
🎯 Multi Builder
Auto-suggests legs from fixture matchup data
🎯 Top Targets I50
Most targeted players inside 50 · season + last game
⚽ First Goal Scorer
Upload FGS CSV above · uses fixture + player data for suggestions
📊 Most Disposals
Most likely to lead their team + the match in disposals · uses disposal context signals + DVP + form
🔥 Streakers
10+ consecutive games hitting a realistic bookmaker line
📝 Notes
Tag players, teams, games — click any note to jump back
⊗ Excluded Players Hidden from all pages until removed
🏳 Flagged Players Injured / Omitted / Retired — badge shown everywhere
ℹ️ User Guide
How to use Just The Tip — a walkthrough of every page and feature
🚀 Quick Start
When you first open the app, enter the weekly password — you only need to do this once per bundle. The app unlocks and stays unlocked until a new bundle is pushed. Once inside:
1. Open a fixture
Tap any game on the Fixture page to pin it. The pinned game becomes your working context.
2. Browse Degen pages
Each Degen subpage filters to your pinned fixture by default. Green Lights, Snags, Streakers etc.
3. Tap a player
Opens their modal with season avgs, L5, H2H vs opp, last box score, and similar players.
4. Build a multi
Head to Multi Builder, pick legs from top candidates, check combined odds.
🎯 Matchup (MU) Ratings
How soft or tough a team is to give up a stat, compared to the league average. Positive % = concedes more than average (good for you backing that stat).
🟢
Soft
15%+ above avg — back it
🟡
Fav
5–15% above avg — favourable
Neutral
Within 5% — no real edge
🟠
Tough
5–15% below avg — be cautious
🔴
V.Tough
15%+ below avg — avoid
📊 DVP — Defence vs Position
MU ratings are team-wide. DVP breaks that down by the position you're targeting. For example: Melbourne might be average against disposals overall, but if they're +18% against midfielders specifically, a Max Gawn handball prop isn't what you want — it's Clayton Oliver.
On the focused fixture you'll see two panels: DVP by Position (MID, KF, RUC etc. vs a chosen stat) and Defence vs Play Style (softer/tougher vs inside-mids, outside-mids, small-forwards etc.). Use the dropdown to change the stat being measured.
🎲 Degen Crew — Subpages
Purpose-built scanners for specific bet types. Each one auto-filters to your pinned fixture by default — use the 🏉 This Round toggle to widen to the whole league.
🎲 Multi Builder
Pick legs for a SGM from the top-ranked props per game. Shows combined odds estimate.
🏉 Snags
Goal-kicking forwards and mids vs soft matchups. Ranked by expected goals.
⚡ Elite Matchups
Top players running into their easiest DVP spots of the week.
🔥 Streakers
Players on active 10+ game streaks of hitting a line. Tiers: Active / Hot / Elite / Legendary.
🎯 Top Targets
Inside-50 target leaders — who's getting the ball in the forward half when their team attacks.
⚽ First Goal
FGS scorer tips ranked by strike rate, median first-goal time, CBA involvement & matchup.
📊 Most Disposals
Top disposal-king candidates per team with recency-weighted form + DVP + tagger adjustments.
💀 Death Riders
Players to fade — their form or matchup suggests a cold game.
🚦 Green Lights
The double-positive — strong recent form AND soft matchup. High-confidence picks.
📈 Form Alerts
Players spiking up or dropping off their season baseline — early-warning for shifting roles.
🩺 Fitness Watch
Test flags, players just back from injury, building-back TOG progression, sharp TOG drops.
🐰 Bunnies
Players who historically dominate a specific opponent — their H2H record is above season avg.
😬 Bogey
Opposite of Bunnies — players who consistently underperform against a specific opponent.
🔒 Lurking Taggers
Elite mids facing a hard-tagger. Tag = trouble — worth a closer look before backing their disposals.
🏆 Hall of Fame
Your best JTT wins recorded — log winners here for posterity.
🎯 Footy Degen
Two games: Daily (one player, 5 guesses, reveals JTT signals after), and Head-to-Head (pick which player had more of a stat last round, 5s per pairing, streak up to 50).
🩺 Fitness Watch — 4 Categories
Shown both on the dedicated Degen page and inline on each focused-fixture team panel. Players appear in one category only, in priority order:
🧪 Test
Listed as Test this week — fitness in question, availability not guaranteed. Tread carefully.
🩹 Just Returned
First game back after being on the injury list. Fade until role and output confirm.
📈 Building Back
Played 2+ games since return with TOG climbing. Check the % of pre-injury baseline — when close to 100%, back them in.
⚠️ TOG Drop
Last game TOG 10%+ below prior baseline — possible niggle, sub-out, or reduced role.
Fitness detection uses injury-list history — needs at least 2 bundle loads for full signal. A player's last game at under 50% TOG is also flagged with a small amber asterisk (*) next to their stats throughout the app.
👤 Player Modal
Tap any player name anywhere in the app to open their modal. You'll see:
Averages — season, L5, L10, L20, '25 season, or H2H vs a specific opponent (use the toggle buttons at the top).
Prop line builder — set a stat + line, see hit rate, L3 raw values, and auto-CMB.
Last box score vs opponent — their most recent stat line against this week's opposition, TOG included.
Legs suggestions — best standard + longshot props for SGM inclusion.
Similar players — stylistically similar players this season for cross-comparison.
At the top of the modal is a quick-action bar with: 🔎 CMB, ☆ Watch, + SGM, 📝 Note, 🏳 Flag, ⚖️ Compare, ⊗ Exclude. Use Flag to mark a player as injured/omitted (hides them from suggestions), Note to attach a tag, Watch to star them for later.
🔎 Check My Bet (CMB)
The floating 🔎 button in the corner pops up CMB anywhere in the app. Type a natural-language query:
Patrick Cripps 28+ disposals
CMB returns a verdict card with: season avg, L5, hit rate, season high, DVP %, last-vs-opp result, a bar chart of recent games, factor-by-factor analysis of why it's a back/fade/lean, plus stylistically-similar players who've faced the same opponent.
Tap 📤 Share to export the verdict as a PNG — you can pick which panels to include (Key stats, Chart, Analysis, Similar players) just like on focused fixtures.
🏉 Focused Fixture Panel
Tap any fixture from the Fixture page to pin it. Each team panel shows:
Squad — selected/bench/emergencies. Tap any chip to exclude that player from Degen suggestions for this fixture.
Fitness Watch — compact rows showing Test / Returning / Building / TOG-Drop flags scoped to this team.
Overall Matchup Ratings vs opponent — soft/tough per stat.
DVP by Position + Defence vs Play Style — each has its own stat dropdown.
Top prop candidates — best players for the fixture split by bet type.
Tap 📤 Share to export the fixture panel as a PNG. The share sheet lets you tick which sections to include — use ⊕ Open only to include just the sections you currently have expanded.
🏷️ Player Badges
Small badges appear next to player names throughout the app for instant context.
🚑Injured / Out
On this week's injury list as an Out — auto-hidden from suggestions.
TESTFitness Test
Listed as Test this week — might play, might not. Wait for team news.
Omitted
Manually flagged as omitted — hidden from suggestions.
*Low TOG caveat
This stat came in a game played under 50% TOG — treat with caution. Hover for exact TOG.
🎽 Position Tags
Every player has a coloured position tag. Used throughout DVP analysis and Play Style matchups.
MIDMidfielder
M-FMid-Forward
G-FGen. Forward
K-FKey Forward
G-DGen. Defender
K-DKey Defender
RUCRuck
🧰 Other Tools
📝 Notes
Tag notes to players/teams/games/stats. Filter by type. Click any note to jump back to its subject.
🔗 Links
Quick links to useful external AFL stats sites.
☁️ Weather
Live game-day weather for this round's venues. Wind and rain affect Key Forwards / small-forwards differently — factored into FGS scoring.
📊 Stats / Scanner
Full-league stats table. Filter, sort, search — the raw-data view.
💡 Tips
Pin a fixture first — most Degen pages auto-filter to it, and it keeps the floating "↑ tap" pill visible.
Strict mode on Fitness Watch — thresholds are tuned to only flag high-signal changes. If nothing shows up, it means there's nothing worth noting.
The asterisk matters — if you see * next to a stat value, that game was played under 50% TOG. A 25-disposal game at 45% TOG isn't the same as 25 at 90% TOG.
The flag is your friend — flagging a player as injured/omitted removes them from all suggestions. Faster than manual exclude.
Hall of Fame your wins — track your bangers for the week/month/year.
Just The Tip — AFL Prop Scanner · DubClub
Beta · For Research Purposes Only
Suggestions are based on historical averages, DVP ratings, and matchup data. Weather, venue, role changes, late team selections, and other real-world variables are not factored in. Information may be incomplete or delayed. Always verify independently before placing any wager. Gamble responsibly.